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10:00 - 11:00 24 September 2015
Epidemic Modelling in the Equatorial City State of Singapore
Room G01 |
Farr Institute of Health Informatics Research
222 Euston Road | London | NW1 2DA | United Kingdom
Speaker: Dr Alex Cook, Assistant Professor, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health.
Dr Alex Cook will be accompanied by: Teo Yik Ying - Vice Dean (Research), Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health.
Singapore has a per capita GDP that is around the world's highest, and has in most regards undergone the epidemiological transition. However, its location in the centre of tropical Asia puts it at risk of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases, from nipah virus, to hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD), dengue, Chikungunya, SARS, and tuberculosis. Even for those viruses that are endemic, the timing and magnitude of outbreaks appears to be chaotic, possibly because of the minimal seasonal variation in climate. In this talk, I will discuss some of the problems and opportunities this aseasonality lends to epidemic modelling and some of the work my lab has done that exploits some of the rich data available in the city state.
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